As we head into the final days of the 21/22awards season we can safely say that no matter what happens next Sunday chaos will likely reign. Many precursor events have left us scratching our heads (CODA wins SAG? Don’t Look Up takes the WGA over Licorice Pizza, Attica beats Summer of Soul at the DGA’s) and with The Academy membership looking vastly different than it did just five years ago we may be on the cusp of a whole new playbook in terms of prognosticating. Many of the old rules are being re-writing or even thrown out the window as the voting bodies diverge and streaming further shapes the industry. Though some may lament the unpredictability of an Oscar season like this, (Kristen Stewart’s nom, Gaga’s Snub, CODA’s rise, or the collapse of Belfast, and maybe The Power of the Dog pulling a Roma – how?) we for our part are reveling in it.
There is technically still time left in the season as AMPAS voting concludes tomorrow but we are sitting on just about as much information we expect to gleam before Sunday. Jane Campion’s The Power of the Dog still tops our Awards Leaderboard by a comfortable margin but recent gaffes by the director and surprising losses at the BAFTA‘s and PGA’s are highlighting the film’s weaknesses, especially with older Academy voters. Still, with over 30 Best Picture wins it is hard to say if anyone else could top that kind of momentum. The best chance for an upset would be for Apple’s first major film acquisition the upstart sound to be frontrunner CODA. The film debuted at the Sundance and despite a rather tepid release, the feel-good family flick about an aspiring singer from a deaf family has captured the hearts of voters just at the right time. Will that be enough to win it all? We find out on Sunday. Check back here for our final Oscar predictions later this week but in the meantime, you watch our video on how to win your Oscar Ballot.
Read on to find out where your favorite movies stand, and let us know what you think in the comments.
1 win
- LVFCS: Best Action Movie
1 win
- WFCC: Best Documentary About Women
1 win
- StLCA: Best Horror Film
1 win
- IFJ: Best Actor
1 win
- LAFCA: Best Production Design
1 win
- LAFCA: Best Film in Foreign Language
1 win
- IFCS: Underrated film
1 win
- NTFCA: Best Foreign Language
1 win
- SDFCS: Best Animated Film
1 win
- GOTHAM: Best Lead Performer
1 win
- TGL: Best Indie Film
1 win
- TGL: Best Actress
Thumbnail image by 20th Century Pictures